EMERGENCY PATTERN SHIFT: Yield Curve Just Inverted by Lynette Zang

In October we took a look at a San Francisco Fed Report indicating that the critical threshold showing the probability of recession, had been breached. Today, the yield of the 3-year treasury went higher than the 5-year treasury. THIS IS A YIELD CURVE INVERSION!

Historically, every time the yield curve has converted a recession followed shortly thereafter. So I’m taking this as the final warning.

Consider yourself warned.

Slides and Links:

https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/march/economic-forecasts-with-yield-curve/

https://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

https://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

https://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

https://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SILVER

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$Gold

 

Youtube Short Description:

The yield curve has inverted! Historically, every time the yield curve has converted a recession followed shortly thereafter. I’m taking this as the final warning.

Consider yourself warned.

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