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OCTOBER WARNING: This Economic Index Hasn’t Been this LOW Since 1975

The Daniela Cambone Show Oct 9, 2024

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At ITM Trading, we understand the importance of making informed decisions when it comes to securing your wealth, especially in uncertain times. Recently, Daniela Cambone sat down with Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at Bleakley Advisors and a frequent CNBC contributor, to discuss the latest trends in the gold market. From central bank gold buying to the US inflation impact, this conversation highlights key insights that can guide your investment strategy.

The Role of Central Banks in Gold Buying

A significant point raised in the interview was the aggressive central bank gold buying we’ve seen in recent years, particularly from countries like China. Boockvar explained that central banks are diversifying their reserves, seeking alternatives to US assets, particularly the US dollar. While the recent pause in China’s gold purchases may raise questions, it’s important to remember that their strategy is long-term.

As Boockvar noted, central banks are not buying gold as a short-term trade. They see it as a store of value and a way to protect their reserves from currency devaluation and economic instability. For individual investors, this strategy reflects a crucial lesson: gold is a long-term investment that can provide stability, particularly in times of global economic uncertainty. As Boockvar highlighted, “They want a strong currency… and they know owning gold is an important thing to park your reserves in.”

US Inflation Impact on Gold Prices

Another vital discussion point was the US inflation impact on gold prices. Inflation has been a concern for many investors, particularly as the cost of living has risen sharply over the past few years. Although some may argue that inflation has been kept in check, Boockvar provided a sobering reality: even if inflation appears to be moderating, its volatility is something to watch closely.

Boockvar predicts that inflation will remain a critical factor influencing gold prices in the near future. As inflation erodes purchasing power, many investors turn to gold as a hedge. The historical data supports this—when inflation rises, gold prices tend to follow. This is especially true for those who are concerned about their long-term financial security. Inflation may fluctuate, but the need for wealth preservation remains constant.

For conservative investors, understanding the relationship between inflation and gold is essential. As Boockvar put it, “It’s not a question of whether we’re going to have inflation or not. The only debate is the degree at which you have inflation.” This statement emphasizes the importance of preparing for inflation’s inevitable ups and downs by holding physical gold in your portfolio.

Why Gold May Experience a Short-Term Breather

While Boockvar remains bullish on gold, he acknowledged that a short-term pullback in prices is possible. He noted that after a strong run, it’s natural for any asset, including gold, to take a breather. However, this temporary dip should not be seen as the end of gold’s rally. Boockvar reassured viewers that the long-term outlook for gold remains strong, particularly as central bank buying continues and inflationary pressures mount.

For conservative investors, a short-term correction might even be an opportunity to buy. As Cambone mentioned at the start of the conversation, if you see a pullback in gold or silver prices, it may be a perfect time to start or increase your holdings in physical gold and silver. The key is to remain focused on your long-term financial goals, rather than being swayed by short-term market fluctuations.

Why the Western Investor Hasn’t Fully Embraced Gold Yet

One surprising aspect of the conversation was the comparison between Western investors and their counterparts in Asia and other parts of the world. Boockvar pointed out that while central bank gold buying has surged, many Western investors have not yet fully embraced gold as a key part of their portfolios. Instead, they remain focused on traditional investments like stocks and bonds, even as inflation and market volatility threaten their returns.

This hesitancy, according to Boockvar, stems from a culture that prioritizes equity investments over precious metals. However, as market conditions shift and the potential for inflation grows, more Western investors may start to see the value in holding gold. Boockvar believes that this shift is already beginning, as more people recognize that gold can serve as a powerful hedge against both inflation and currency devaluation.

The Bottom Line: Why Gold Still Matters

In conclusion, the conversation between Peter Boockvar and Daniela Cambone highlighted several key trends in the gold market that should not be overlooked. From the strategic central bank gold buying to the US inflation impact and the slow but steady rise in Western interest in gold, it’s clear that gold remains a crucial part of a diversified portfolio.

At ITM Trading, we believe in empowering our clients with the knowledge and tools they need to make informed decisions. If you’re concerned about inflation, market volatility, or simply want to protect your wealth, now might be the perfect time to consider adding physical gold and silver to your portfolio. Contact us today to schedule an educational strategy session tailored to your unique financial goals.

___

SOURCES:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX?sa=X&sqi=2&ved=2ahUKEwj40_21neWEAxUEHkQIHb1XC4kQ3ecFegQIDRAX&window=1M

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/chinas-gold-reserves-unchanged-fifth-straight-month-september-2024-10-07/

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/gold-inches-lower-us-jobs-data-cements-bets-smaller-rate-cut-2024-10-07/

https://x.com/pboockvar/status/1843612374978441443

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/30/chinas-factory-activity-contracts-for-fifth-straight-month-but-less-than-forecast.html#:~:text=The%20Caixin%20data%20released%20on,and%20a%20weakening%20labor%20market

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-08/ray-dalio-doesn-t-see-the-fed-making-significant-rate-cuts?embedded-checkout=true

Sources & References In This Article

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