Could Income Tax Really End in 2025? Trump Thinks So. In this video, Taylor Kenney breaks down President Trump’s bold proposal to eliminate income tax and replace it entirely with tariffs. Sounds great—until you look at the math. The Appeal of Tax-Free Paychecks

The Appeal of Tax-Free Paychecks

Imagine never paying income tax again. No April 15th deadlines, no deductions, no surprises. Trump’s plan taps into that dream and proposes replacing all income tax revenue—approximately $2.5 trillion annually—with tariffs on imported goods.

But there’s a catch: Income tax makes up nearly half of all federal revenue. Removing it means we need a serious replacement. While tariffs currently generate less than $100 billion a year, to match income tax revenue, we’d need tariffs on nearly everything we import—at significantly higher rates.

A Glimpse into America’s Economic Past

Supporters of this plan point to history: the U.S. didn’t always have income tax. It was only introduced in 1913 alongside the creation of the Federal Reserve. Before then, tariffs and excise taxes funded a much smaller government. There was no Medicare, no Social Security, and certainly no $36 trillion national debt.

But today’s government infrastructure is massive. From defense to infrastructure to entitlement programs, the U.S. federal budget relies on robust tax income to function.

The Math Doesn’t Add Up

Let’s look at the numbers. America imports about $4 trillion worth of goods annually. Last year’s average tariff rate? Just 2.5%. To raise enough revenue to replace income taxes, tariffs would need to exceed 100%—which would likely cripple trade, raise consumer prices, and still might fall short of covering the shortfall.

Taylor Kenney of ITM Trading notes that even if the plan was scaled to only eliminate income taxes for Americans making under $200,000 a year, the government would still need to replace roughly $600 billion. While that’s more feasible, it still poses a challenge without triggering inflation or reducing essential services.

Inflation: The Hidden Tax

Even if Americans took home more pay by not paying income tax, inflation would likely erode their purchasing power. As Taylor points out, when government revenue falls short, the typical response is more money printing—fueling inflation. That means higher prices on everyday goods, effectively taxing Americans in a way that’s harder to see but just as damaging.

Worse yet, we’re already in a dangerous debt cycle. The U.S. is running a $2 trillion annual deficit. With foreign buyers backing away from U.S. Treasuries, the government is forced to offer higher interest rates to attract investors. That means more debt, more inflation, and more pressure on the dollar.

The End of the Currency Life Cycle?

The larger issue isn’t just the tax swap—it’s the system itself. “This entire financial machine is built on unsustainable debt,” he says. Slowing growth threatens to collapse the very structure the economy relies on.

And we’re seeing signs already. GDP contracted by 3% in Q1, while job creation is far below expectations. If a deeper recession hits, government spending will need to ramp up—just when revenues are being cut and deficits are growing.

How to Protect Yourself

In Taylor Kenney’s words: “Your dollar is never going to be worth more than it is today.” As inflation eats away at savings, the real threat isn’t just taxation—it’s the devaluation of the currency itself.

That’s why, at ITM Trading, we advocate for tangible wealth protection strategies. Physical gold and silver serve as an insurance policy against the uncertainty of the dollar. When hidden taxes like inflation hit hardest, these assets can help preserve your purchasing power.

If you’re concerned about how proposals like Trump’s income tax plan, or the broader economic shifts, could impact your savings and retirement, now is the time to act.

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