{"id":33961,"date":"2023-05-18T13:15:35","date_gmt":"2023-05-18T20:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/?p=33961"},"modified":"2023-05-18T13:15:35","modified_gmt":"2023-05-18T20:15:35","slug":"playing-russian-roulette-with-us-credit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/playing-russian-roulette-with-us-credit\/","title":{"rendered":"Playing Russian Roulette with US Credit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Will the U.S. go into default for the first time in its history?\u00c2\u00a0 The whole advantage of being the world reserve currency is that we can print from debt\u00c2\u00a0 the money that we need to pay our bills.\u00c2\u00a0 Is the government so divided that they would actually allow a default? What if we don&#8217;t pay our bills? Janet Yellen says we could run out of all of the tools that she has to postpone hitting the debt ceiling on June 1st.<\/p>\n<p><strong>CHAPTERS: <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>0:00 Intro<br \/>\n1:09 How Worried Should We Be<br \/>\n4:23 Debt Limit<br \/>\n5:50 Deadlock<br \/>\n7:45 Bets are Rising<br \/>\n14:45\u00c2\u00a0 Who&#8217;s in Control?<br \/>\n16:55 Eye Popping Fluctuation<\/p>\n<p><strong>SLIDES FROM VIDEO:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide1-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33962\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide1-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"540\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide1-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide1-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide1-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide2-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33963\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide2-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide2-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide2-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide2-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide3-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33964\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide3-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide3-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide3-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide3-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide4-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33965\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide4-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide4-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide4-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide4-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide5-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33966\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide5-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide5-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide5-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide5-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide6-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33967\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide6-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide6-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide6-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide6-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide7-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33968\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide7-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide7-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide7-5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide7-5-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide8-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33969\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide8-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide8-4.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide8-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Slide8-4-624x468.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>SOURCES: <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/2023\/04\/24\/how-worried-should-we-be-if-the-debt-ceiling-isnt-lifted\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/2023\/04\/24\/how-worried-should-we-be-if-the-debt-ceiling-isnt-lifted\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.moodysanalytics.com\/-\/media\/article\/2023\/debt-limit-brinkmanship.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.moodysanalytics.com\/-\/media\/article\/2023\/debt-limit-brinkmanship.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2023\/04\/30\/debt-ceiling-deadlock-continues-00094557\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2023\/04\/30\/debt-ceiling-deadlock-continues-00094557<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-04-28\/bets-offering-2-400-payout-on-us-default-lure-growing-crowd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-04-28\/bets-offering-2-400-payout-on-us-default-lure-growing-crowd<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/38a58dfe-8309-447c-a18b-b0528186a8f0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Policymakers and business need to adapt better to structural uncertainty | Financial Times (ft.com)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/bond\/tmubmusd01y?countrycode=bx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/bond\/tmubmusd01y?countrycode=bx<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/market-primer\/gold-market-primer-market-size-and-structure?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=GOLDHUB%3A+your+weekly+gold+market+round-up%2C+April+28%2C+2023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gold Market Primer: Market size and structure | World Gold Council<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will the U.S. go into default for the first time in its history?\u00c2\u00a0 The whole advantage of being the world reserve [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":33970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1713],"tags":[45,59,114,1328,1607,1772,1792],"class_list":["post-33961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-peek-beneath-the-skin-of-the-markets","tag-debt","tag-gold-2","tag-silver-2","tag-banks","tag-janet-yellen","tag-markets","tag-treasury"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33961"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33971,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33961\/revisions\/33971"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}