{"id":33483,"date":"2023-02-17T08:04:16","date_gmt":"2023-02-17T15:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/?p=33483"},"modified":"2023-02-17T08:04:16","modified_gmt":"2023-02-17T15:04:16","slug":"inflation-stock-buybacks-and-the-next-market-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/inflation-stock-buybacks-and-the-next-market-crash\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation, Stock Buybacks, and the Next Market Crash"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We have a very dangerous situation where the Fed says they won&#8217;t be lowering rates with the markets. They don&#8217;t believe them. And so they&#8217;re betting on just the opposite direction. Both are attempting to call each other&#8217;s bluff. And the reason this game of chicken is so different is because it&#8217;s actually the most dangerous for the public, not the people playing the game. There are two ways that this can go, and it ultimately leads to the same result. Well, how much time do we have and do I protect myself differently depending on which each of those happens? These are the questions we&#8217;ll answer<\/p>\n<p><strong>CHAPTERS:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>0:00 Introduction<br \/>\n1:38 Stock Buybacks<br \/>\n3:45 Sleepwalking Into A Selloff<br \/>\n5:50 Who&#8217;s At Risk?<br \/>\n6:44 Markets Play Chicken With Fed<br \/>\n9:40 Dangerous Game<br \/>\n11:50 Look at Lebanon<br \/>\n14:21 Wrap Up<\/p>\n<p><strong>SLIDES FROM VIDEO:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33484\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide1-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33485\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide2-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33486\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide3-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33487\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide4-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33488\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide5-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33489\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide6-4.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-33490\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3-624x468.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Slide7-3.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>SOURCES:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-02\/stock-buybacks-hit-132-billion-as-companies-snub-all-warnings?sref=rWFqAg1Y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-02\/stock-buybacks-hit-132-billion-as-companies-snub-all-warnings?sref=rWFqAg1Y<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-03\/bofa-s-hartnett-warns-investors-risk-sleepwalking-into-selloff?sref=rWFqAg1Y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-03\/bofa-s-hartnett-warns-investors-risk-sleepwalking-into-selloff?sref=rWFqAg1Y<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Blogs\/chart-of-the-week\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chart of the Week (imf.org)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Blogs\/Articles\/2023\/01\/26\/global-economic-uncertainty-remains-elevated-weighing-on-growth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Economic Uncertainty Remains Elevated, Weighing on Growth (imf.org)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-03\/markets-play-game-of-chicken-with-central-banks-on-pivot-bets?cmpid=BBD020323_OUS&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=230203&amp;utm_campaign=openamericas&amp;sref=rWFqAg1Y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Markets Play Game of Chicken With Central Banks on Pivot Bets &#8211; Bloomberg<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Blogs\/Articles\/2023\/02\/02\/looser-financial-conditions-pose-conundrum-for-central-banks?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Looser Financial Conditions Pose Conundrum for Central Banks (imf.org)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/gold-demand-trends\/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/gold-demand-trends\/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/currencies\/lebanon-devalue-currency-by-90-feb-1-cbank-chief-says-2023-01-31\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/currencies\/lebanon-devalue-currency-by-90-feb-1-cbank-chief-says-2023-01-31\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/dunyanews.tv\/en\/Business\/693544-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/dunyanews.tv\/en\/Business\/693544-<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We have a very dangerous situation where the Fed says they won&#8217;t be lowering rates with the markets. They don&#8217;t believe [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":33491,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1713],"tags":[59,114,119,408,1282,1790,2573,2574,2575],"class_list":["post-33483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-peek-beneath-the-skin-of-the-markets","tag-gold-2","tag-silver-2","tag-stocks","tag-fed","tag-central-banks","tag-lebanon","tag-buybacks","tag-selloff","tag-corporate-risk"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33483","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33483"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33483\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33492,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33483\/revisions\/33492"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33491"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33483"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33483"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33483"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}