{"id":25605,"date":"2018-12-04T13:24:39","date_gmt":"2018-12-04T20:24:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/?p=25605"},"modified":"2021-01-04T13:26:27","modified_gmt":"2021-01-04T20:26:27","slug":"emergency-pattern-shift-yield-curve-just-inverted-lynette-zang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/emergency-pattern-shift-yield-curve-just-inverted-lynette-zang\/","title":{"rendered":"EMERGENCY PATTERN SHIFT: Yield Curve Just Inverted by Lynette Zang"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In October we took a look at a San Francisco Fed Report indicating that the critical threshold showing the probability of recession, had been breached. Today, the yield of the 3-year treasury went higher than the 5-year treasury. THIS IS A YIELD CURVE INVERSION!<\/p>\n<p>Historically, every time the yield curve has converted a recession followed shortly thereafter. So I\u00e2\u20ac\u2122m taking this as the final warning.<\/p>\n<p>Consider yourself warned.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slides and Links:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-25606\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide1-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.frbsf.org\/economic-research\/publications\/economic-letter\/2018\/march\/economic-forecasts-with-yield-curve\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.frbsf.org\/economic-research\/publications\/economic-letter\/2018\/march\/economic-forecasts-with-yield-curve\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-25607\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide2-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-25608\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide3-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-25609\" src=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Slide4-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$SILVER\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$SILVER<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$Gold\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$Gold<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Youtube Short Description:<\/p>\n<p>The yield curve has inverted! Historically, every time the yield curve has converted a recession followed shortly thereafter. I\u00e2\u20ac\u2122m taking this as the final warning.<\/p>\n<p>Consider yourself warned.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In October we took a look at a San Francisco Fed Report indicating that the critical threshold showing the probability of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":25869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1713],"tags":[53,84],"class_list":["post-25605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-peek-beneath-the-skin-of-the-markets","tag-federal-reserve","tag-interest-rates"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25605","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25605"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25605\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29557,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25605\/revisions\/29557"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itmtrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}