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Why Experts Think Commercial Real Estate Is The Next Shoe To Drop

Peek Beneath the Skin of the Markets May 4, 2023

Tick, tick, tick. Can you hear the ticking of the clock? There are a lot of people out there that think that the next shoe to drop is going to be in commercial real estate. It is, isn’t it? It’s definitely, without a doubt, a major ticking time bomb.

CHAPTERS:

0:00 Intro
1:08 Commercial Real Estate
4:15 CMBS and CRE CLO
6:22 CRE Debt
11:12 Is This Global?
12:20 Gold Breakdown
15:07 Wrap Up

SLIDES FROM VIDEO:

SOURCES:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/commercial-mortgages-are-a-big-3-1-trillion-share-of-bank-holdings-goldman-sachs-bd8ce5c1

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CREACBM027NBOG

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/office-property-woes-could-be-tip-of-iceberg-if-credit-freezes-up-as-1-trillion-bill-comes-due-466f7a2d?mod=article_inline

https://www.wealthmanagement.com/cmbs/cre-conduit-lending-sector-braces-challenges-2023

https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/Research_and_Data/CMBS_Performance_and_Maturity_Update.aspx

https://cred-iq.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/20/mounting-maturity-defaults-commercial-real-estate/

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593367-banks-investors-government-on-hook-for-majority-of-cre-debt

https://www.advisor.ca/investments/alternative-investments/canadas-national-office-vacancy-rate-hit-all-time-high-in-q1-cbre/

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/fears-mount-european-commercial-real-estate-could-be-the-next-to-blow.html

https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/how-much-gold

Sources & References In This Article

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/commercial-mortgages-are-a-big-3-1-trillion-share-of-bank-holdings-goldman-sachs-bd8ce5c1 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CREACBM027NBOG https://www.marketwatch.com/story/office-property-woes-could-be-tip-of-iceberg-if-credit-freezes-up-as-1-trillion-bill-comes-due-466f7a2d?mod=article_inline https://www.wealthmanagement.com/cmbs/cre-conduit-lending-sector-braces-challenges-2023 https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/Research_and_Data/CMBS_Performance_and_Maturity_Update.aspx https://cred-iq.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/20/mounting-maturity-defaults-commercial-real-estate/ https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593367-banks-investors-government-on-hook-for-majority-of-cre-debt https://www.advisor.ca/investments/alternative-investments/canadas-national-office-vacancy-rate-hit-all-time-high-in-q1-cbre/ https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/fears-mount-european-commercial-real-estate-could-be-the-next-to-blow.html https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/how-much-gold
  2. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CREACBM027NBOG
  3. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/office-property-woes-could-be-tip-of-iceberg-if-credit-freezes-up-as-1-trillion-bill-comes-due-466f7a2d?mod=article_inline
  4. https://www.wealthmanagement.com/cmbs/cre-conduit-lending-sector-braces-challenges-2023
  5. https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/Research_and_Data/CMBS_Performance_and_Maturity_Update.aspx
  6. https://cred-iq.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/20/mounting-maturity-defaults-commercial-real-estate/
  7. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593367-banks-investors-government-on-hook-for-majority-of-cre-debt
  8. https://www.advisor.ca/investments/alternative-investments/canadas-national-office-vacancy-rate-hit-all-time-high-in-q1-cbre/
  9. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/fears-mount-european-commercial-real-estate-could-be-the-next-to-blow.html
  10. https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/how-much-gold

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